Tongzhou Market Information Brief, Week 2 of January 2020


I. Zhengzhou Cotton
Positive Factors:
1. Downstream yarn inventory reduction is good, and there is an expectation of raw material replenishment after the New Year.
2. Inclusion of Xinjiang cotton continues, bringing price support.
3. The signing of the first phase of the China-US agreement is conducive to the phased recovery of domestic and foreign demand.
4. Improved capital liquidity.
Negative Factors:
1. Yarn mills need to repair immediate profits, and the grey fabric end is still in the inventory reduction cycle.
2. High industrial and commercial inventories, and it takes time for the state reserve inclusion to alleviate the pressure of phased supply relaxation.
3. The price difference between domestic and foreign cotton has been repaired, and imported cotton with 1% tariff can be imported.
4. Polyester substitutes cotton consumption.
II. US Cotton
Positive Factors:
1. India's CCI reserve has a supporting role on cotton prices.
2. The USDA January report continues to improve the US cotton 19/20 balance sheet.
3. Foreign yarn production profits continue to improve, which is beneficial to cotton consumption.
4. Trade negotiations have yielded positive results, and there is an expectation that US cotton will be reserved.
Negative Factors:
1. The execution of a large number of un-shipped contracts signed by China for US cotton requires the subsequent trade war situation to continue to improve.
2. The weak bottoming out of the macroeconomic situation, weak demand, and inventory reduction require time.
III. Focus
1. Changes in the Sino-US trade situation.
2. Continue to monitor the listing progress of major cotton-producing countries.
3. The consumption status of downstream China and Southeast Asia.
4. Planting expectations for future cotton.
 

Leaders from Xiamen C&D Group visited Tongzhou for investigation and guidance


On March 3, Wang Yongqing, Vice President of Xiamen CNOOC Group, visited Tongzhou Group for investigation and guidance. Wei Gangmin, Chairman of our company; Huang Hongyu, President; Li Tao, Vice President; and Zhang Zhiyan, Director of the General Office, met with and participated in a symposium.


Tongzhou Cotton Market Brief, Week 1 of March 2025


1) This week's National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC & CPPCC) in China boosted market expectations for steady growth. In February, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing stood at 50.2%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a significant improvement in the manufacturing sector.


In 2024, China's exports of dyed and printed fabrics to Vietnam and Bangladesh increased significantly.


In 2024, China's dyeing industry saw rapid export growth to ASEAN and RCEP member countries, exceeding the overall export growth rate. However, this growth was accompanied by a decline in prices. From January to December, China's exports of eight major dyeing products to ASEAN totaled 7.908 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 12.14%, 4.61 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate, accounting for 23.58% of total exports. The average export price was US\$1.19 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, 0.64 percentage points lower than the overall decline. Exports to RCEP member countries totaled 8.431 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.35%, 3.82 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate. The average export price was US\$1.17 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.79%, 0.60 percentage points lower than the overall decline.


President Huang Hongyu was invited to attend the 2025 Zhangjiagang Cotton Industry Development Conference


On February 28, Mr. Huang Hongyu, President of our company, was invited to attend the 2025 Zhangjiagang Cotton Industry Development Conference and, as a guest speaker at the "Xiangshan Roundtable," shared his views on the cotton market and trading opportunities.