Tongzhou Market Information Brief, Week 2 of May 2020
I. Zhengmian (China's cotton)
Bullish factors:
Historically low absolute prices.
Some European and American countries are resuming work.
Slight improvement in terminal consumption.
Weather premium expectations.
Bearish factors:
Increased downstream finished goods inventory and decreased production and sales ratio.
Domestic terminal garment export orders have not yet resumed on a large scale.
High market circulation inventory and high warehouse receipts.
Polyester replacing cotton consumption.
II. American Cotton
Bullish factors:
1. Some European and American countries are resuming work.
2. Expectations of US cotton reserves.
3. Expectations of reduced future cotton planting area.
4. Weather premium expectations, locust development, etc.
5. Macroeconomic easing boosting risk appetite.
Bearish factors:
1. Some cotton-consuming countries abroad are still in a state of production stagnation.
2. CCI price reduction and disposal of 19-20 cotton.
3. Concerns about macroeconomic downturn and deflation.
III. Focus
1. Changes in the Sino-US trade situation.
2. Changes in the overseas epidemic situation.
3. Future planting area.
4. Locust progress and weather changes.
Leaders from Xiamen C&D Group visited Tongzhou for investigation and guidance
On March 3, Wang Yongqing, Vice President of Xiamen CNOOC Group, visited Tongzhou Group for investigation and guidance. Wei Gangmin, Chairman of our company; Huang Hongyu, President; Li Tao, Vice President; and Zhang Zhiyan, Director of the General Office, met with and participated in a symposium.
Tongzhou Cotton Market Brief, Week 1 of March 2025
1) This week's National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC & CPPCC) in China boosted market expectations for steady growth. In February, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing stood at 50.2%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a significant improvement in the manufacturing sector.
In 2024, China's dyeing industry saw rapid export growth to ASEAN and RCEP member countries, exceeding the overall export growth rate. However, this growth was accompanied by a decline in prices. From January to December, China's exports of eight major dyeing products to ASEAN totaled 7.908 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 12.14%, 4.61 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate, accounting for 23.58% of total exports. The average export price was US\$1.19 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, 0.64 percentage points lower than the overall decline. Exports to RCEP member countries totaled 8.431 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.35%, 3.82 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate. The average export price was US\$1.17 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.79%, 0.60 percentage points lower than the overall decline.
On February 28, Mr. Huang Hongyu, President of our company, was invited to attend the 2025 Zhangjiagang Cotton Industry Development Conference and, as a guest speaker at the "Xiangshan Roundtable," shared his views on the cotton market and trading opportunities.