Tongzhou Market Information Brief, Week 1 of April 2020
I. Zhengzhou Cotton
Bullish factors:
Historically low absolute prices.
Inverted price difference between domestic and international cotton markets.
Continued easing of the domestic epidemic.
Expected reduction in future cotton planting area.
Bearish factors:
Insufficient orders, increased inventory of downstream finished products.
The spread of the overseas epidemic is unfavorable to the subsequent export of domestic finished garments.
High market circulation inventory, high warehouse receipts.
Polyester replacing cotton consumption.
II. American Cotton
Bullish factors:
1. Expectation of American cotton being put into reserve.
2. Expected reduction in future cotton planting area.
3. Crude oil production cut negotiations and the emergence of a turning point in the peak of the EU epidemic boosted risk appetite.
Bearish factors:
1. Overseas epidemic economic activities remain stagnant.
2. Overseas yarn production has been significantly reduced due to the epidemic.
3. Concerns about macroeconomic downturn and deflation.
III. Focus
1. Changes in the Sino-US trade situation.
2. Changes in the overseas epidemic situation.
3. Future planting area.
Leaders from Xiamen C&D Group visited Tongzhou for investigation and guidance
On March 3, Wang Yongqing, Vice President of Xiamen CNOOC Group, visited Tongzhou Group for investigation and guidance. Wei Gangmin, Chairman of our company; Huang Hongyu, President; Li Tao, Vice President; and Zhang Zhiyan, Director of the General Office, met with and participated in a symposium.
Tongzhou Cotton Market Brief, Week 1 of March 2025
1) This week's National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC & CPPCC) in China boosted market expectations for steady growth. In February, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing stood at 50.2%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a significant improvement in the manufacturing sector.
In 2024, China's dyeing industry saw rapid export growth to ASEAN and RCEP member countries, exceeding the overall export growth rate. However, this growth was accompanied by a decline in prices. From January to December, China's exports of eight major dyeing products to ASEAN totaled 7.908 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 12.14%, 4.61 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate, accounting for 23.58% of total exports. The average export price was US\$1.19 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, 0.64 percentage points lower than the overall decline. Exports to RCEP member countries totaled 8.431 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.35%, 3.82 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate. The average export price was US\$1.17 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.79%, 0.60 percentage points lower than the overall decline.
On February 28, Mr. Huang Hongyu, President of our company, was invited to attend the 2025 Zhangjiagang Cotton Industry Development Conference and, as a guest speaker at the "Xiangshan Roundtable," shared his views on the cotton market and trading opportunities.