Tongzhou Market Information Brief, Week 3 of March 2020
I. Zhengmian (China's cotton futures contract)
Bullish factors:
Xinjiang cotton continues to be included in the national reserve.
Price difference between domestic and international cotton markets is inverted.
Domestic epidemic continues to ease.
Expectation of reduced cotton planting area in the future.
Bearish factors:
Companies delay work resumption due to the epidemic, reducing demand.
The spread of the overseas epidemic is unfavorable to domestic garment exports.
The amount of national reserves cannot offset the reduction in consumption.
OPEC's production cut negotiations collapsed, leading to polyester replacing cotton consumption.
II. American Cotton
Bullish factors:
1. India's CCI reserve purchases support cotton prices.
2. Expectation of American cotton being reserved.
3. Expectation of reduced global cotton planting area in the 20/21 season.
Bearish factors:
1. The overseas epidemic continues to spread.
2. Foreign yarn demand is constrained by reduced demand in the short term.
3. Concerns about macroeconomic downturn and deflation.
III. Focus
1. Changes in the Sino-US trade situation.
2. Pace of downstream resumption of work.
3. Changes in the overseas epidemic.
4. Future planting area.
Leaders from Xiamen C&D Group visited Tongzhou for investigation and guidance
On March 3, Wang Yongqing, Vice President of Xiamen CNOOC Group, visited Tongzhou Group for investigation and guidance. Wei Gangmin, Chairman of our company; Huang Hongyu, President; Li Tao, Vice President; and Zhang Zhiyan, Director of the General Office, met with and participated in a symposium.
Tongzhou Cotton Market Brief, Week 1 of March 2025
1) This week's National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC & CPPCC) in China boosted market expectations for steady growth. In February, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing stood at 50.2%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a significant improvement in the manufacturing sector.
In 2024, China's dyeing industry saw rapid export growth to ASEAN and RCEP member countries, exceeding the overall export growth rate. However, this growth was accompanied by a decline in prices. From January to December, China's exports of eight major dyeing products to ASEAN totaled 7.908 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 12.14%, 4.61 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate, accounting for 23.58% of total exports. The average export price was US\$1.19 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, 0.64 percentage points lower than the overall decline. Exports to RCEP member countries totaled 8.431 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.35%, 3.82 percentage points higher than the overall export growth rate. The average export price was US\$1.17 per meter, a year-on-year decrease of 2.79%, 0.60 percentage points lower than the overall decline.
On February 28, Mr. Huang Hongyu, President of our company, was invited to attend the 2025 Zhangjiagang Cotton Industry Development Conference and, as a guest speaker at the "Xiangshan Roundtable," shared his views on the cotton market and trading opportunities.
Henan Tongzhou Cotton Industry Co., Ltd.
Contact
Henan Tongzhou Cotton Industry Co., Ltd.
Address: 10th Floor, Henan Nongxin Building, No. 19 Commercial Outer Ring Road, Zhengdong New District,Zhengzhou, China
Tel：86037165836206
Email：tongzhou@tongzhoucotton.com
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